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June 26 2009
First round: Pick-by-pick analysis
By Tony Mejia
Pro Basketball News

The No. 1 pick came as no surprise, but given what we've seen so far as the haves and have-nots do business to try and get their affairs in order for the 2009-10 season and beyond, it promises to be a busy night. Follow it here with a heavy emphasis on the refresh button.

1. L.A. Clippers: Blake Griffin, F, Oklahoma -- Now  that the most coveted player in this year's draft is safely delivered, the next step for the Clips is not screwing him up. They've got to deal either Zach Randolph, Marcus Camby and Chris Kaman in order to open up opportunities for their top pick, and then bring him along as well as they have Al Thornton and Eric Gordon, who progressed slowly and then really took off in the latter months of their rookie seasons. As far as Griffin is concerned, he's got to shake off the expectations that he'll be the Rookie of the Year and simply roll with the punches, understanding that it's a marathon, not a sprint -- especially given who drafted him.

2. Memphis: Hasheem Thabeet, C, Connecticut -- Being 7-foot-3 allows you to get away with a lot of things. Winding up a bust with the No. 2 pick in the draft isn't one of them. He's probably not going to be Dikembe Mutombo, but won't be Yinka Dare, either. Maybe he'll wind up like Samuel Dalembert, and hopefully for the Grizzlies' sake, will be a quicker study than the Sixers center. In the short-term, he enters into a good situation, able to enter into a platoon with Marc Gasol in what promises to be an intriguing offense-defense tandem.

3. Oklahoma City: James Harden, G, Arizona State -- Sam Presti opted not to disrupt Russell Westbrook by moving him off the ball in favor of Ricky Rubio, choosing a more natural fit in the reigning Pac-10 Player of the Year. Harden is NBA ready and will challenge Thabo Sefolosha for a starting spot right off the bat, but how much success he ultimately has rides on him being able to consistently deliver from 3-point range, a skill he's got to put some work in to master.

4. Sacramento: Tyreke Evans, G, Memphis -- The Kings resisted the temptation of gambling on Rubio in favor of the player who probably impressed most on the workout circuit, enticing teams with his size, skill set and potential to develop into a key contributor on both ends of the floor. As a result, Evans and Rubio will now be tied together in the what-if game, with Sacramento absolutely needing to have made the right call on this one. In a small market and campaigning for a new building, they better hope Rubio falls flat on his face and doesn't become the Spanish Pete Maravich. 

5. Minnesota (from Washington): Ricky Rubio, G, DKV Joventut (Spain) -- Why the boos from the New York haters? In going to the Timberwolves, Rubio is as far away from the spotlight of the big city as you can get. For Rubio, that's actually a good thing. Only 18 years old, he'll be able to develop under the radar while playing a lot of minutes for a team that just traded its backcourt away. It will be interesting to see who coaches him and what approach is taken with him. Potential top candidate Mark Jackson, serving as a commentator on ESPN's coverage, was conspicuously quiet as the first true point guard in this draft was taken.

6. Minnesota: Jonny Flynn, G, Syracuse -- This is the first true curveball of the draft, and shockingly didn't lead to another move. You don't waste two picks in the top half of the lottery on guys who play the same position, but team president David Kahn appears convinced these two can co-exist in some magical Billy Hoyle/Sidney Deane way. At the very least, these two should push one another to the point one of them will pan out.

7. Golden State: Stephen Curry, G, Davidson -- Monta Ellis should be happy. Instead of seeing the Warriors draft someone who could unseat him, they took his perfect complement, the top shooter in the draft. Curry will be able to handle and pass well enough to push for minutes in Don Nelson's up-tempo system immediately, making this a homerun for Larry Riley and Co. Next on the agenda is seeing whether they can't finish swindling the Suns out of Amar'e Stoudemire to position themselves for a playoff run next season.

8. New York: Jordan Hill, F, Arizona -- Relax, Knicks fans. This isn't Channing Frye. If anything, Hill is the anti-Channing Frye, a player who is willing and able to mix it up and will endear himself to New York with his toughness. A very solid fit in Mike D'Antoni's system, he'll be able to run the floor, finish and rebound in transition and figures to inherit the power forward spot when David Lee finds a home elsewhere, an outcome that appears inevitable.

9. Toronto: DeMar DeRozan, G/F, USC -- A fortunate pick for the Raptors, who badly needed an upgrade on the wing, particularly athletically. He's a project, but has the type of game-changing dexterity that can make him a force on both ends of the floor. He's not someone who sits around and watches, constantly trying to be around the ball and make a play. That type of effort will allow him to get by until the game slows down for him and he becomes a major asset.

10. Milwaukee: Brandon Jennings, G, Roma (Italy) -- From Compton, via Roma, your 2009-10 NBA Rookie of the Year arrives in Milwaukee. It remains to be seen whether the Bucks bring back Ramon Sessions, but there will be plenty of minutes for Jennings to learn on the run, wowing everyone with his remarkable quickness and athleticism. If he's better than expected early, and I think he will be, it would be a positive argument for the European experience over the one-and-done college route.

11. New Jersey: Terrence Williams, F/G, Louisville -- Maturity kicked in for him last season, which combined with his athleticism and versatility, made him one of the top performers in the country. With a nucleus of Devin Harris, Brook Lopez, Yi Jianlian and the newly acquired Courtney Lee in place -- not to mention tons of cap space for 2010 -- the Nets are looking good in their rebuilding efforts.

12. Charlotte: Gerald Henderson, G, Duke -- The Bobcats really wanted Williams, but get a very nice consolation prize in Henderson,  a player they scouted, worked out and really admired. He'll be able to apprentice under Raja Bell and become a solid contributor, balancing out the ratio of Tar Heels to Blue Devils in Charlotte a litte better. He won't be a star, but has an opportunity to make a similar impact as Lee had in Orlando out of Western Kentucky.

13. Indiana: Tyler Hansbrough, F, North Carolina -- It seemed fitting that Hansbrough play for Jerry Sloan. Instead, Larry Bird scooped him up for the Pacers in the lottery, which was far earlier than most expected he'd hear his name called. Teams really like Jeff Foster, but if nobody pries him from Indiana, Hansbrough and Foster mix it up in practices should keep the folks at Band-Aid in business. A high-character guy with a legendary work ethic, he fits in line with Bird's continued rebuilding of the Pacers, but he has to produce like a lottery-type talent to keep this from being a mistake.

14. Phoenix: Earl Clark, F, Louisville -- The Suns may be dismantling their team, but selecting Clark is a positive development during a time where Phoenix can use all the pick-me-ups it can get. Although he's got to mature and find consistency, he's got tremendous skills for a guy with his combination of size and strength, potentially emerging as a true hybrid forward who should excel in an up-tempo style if Alvin Gentry sticks with that strategy.

15. Detroit: Austin Daye, F, Gonzaga -- Have to say I'd have gone with James Johnson here, but Detroit is banking on Frye's higher ceiling. He's got tremendous length and has guard-like shooting skills, but it's going to be interesting to see whethere he's overwhelmed from a physical standpoint. In that regard, he's got to take his lumps without losing confidence because he's got a long road to travel to reach his potential.

16. Chicago:  James Johnson, F, Wake Forest -- The Pistons have to hope they made the right call on Daye, because they're going to get a close-up look at the result of their decision with their Central Division rival taking Johnson. He's a bit of a tweener, but has excellent mid-range skills, doesn't shy from contact and isn't lacking for confidence. Improving against Tyrus Thomas' athleticism and length should do wonders for his development.

17. Philadelphia: Jrue Holiday, G, UCLA -- It says a lot about the Sixers' ambition that they opted for Holiday with NBA-ready floor generals Ty Lawson and Eric Maynor available. Holiday has a lot of Russell Westbrook in him when you look at the athleticism and raw potential, but like his fellow Bruin, he's got to straighten out the jumper and learn how to run an offense after playing off the ball a year ago. Take his selection as an indication that Ed Stefanski is convinced he'll be bringing Andre Miller back next season.

18. Minnesota (for Denver): Ty Lawson, G, North Carolina -- Gotta shout out Mark Warkentien for continuing his strong year by adding an excellent backup for Chauncey Billups. Denver was infatuated with Lawson last year before he returned to school, and they get their man by swapping a future pick for him. His speed and decision-making will make him an asset right out of the gate.

19. Atlanta: Jeff Teague, G, Wake Forest -- Having shipped out point guard of the future Acie Law to get Jamal Crawford from the Warriors, the Hawks fill a need in picking up Teague, a shoot-first point guard who has to get his head on straight to make it in this league. His decision-making was spotty in college and one of the reasons Wake sputtered down the stretch and underachieved in the NCAAs, so that becomes his top priority as he transitions to the pros.

20. Utah: Eric Maynor, G, VCU -- A quality backup for Deron Williams, he looks a little like Stephon Marbury with that mid-range game and No. 3 jersey he sported for the Rams. It's a mild surprise the Jazz went for another guard with Pitt's DeJuan Blair on the board, but Maynor will be an asset at some point down the road.

21. New Orleans: Darren Collison, G, UCLA -- This is the guy that pushed Westbrook and Holiday off the ball at UCLA the past two seasons, so he knows a thing or two about running a club. Look for him to spell Chris Paul and be a terror on both ends with his ball-hawking defense and ability to make the right call on pick-and-rolls. There was talk the Hornets were going to bring back Jannero Pargo, but now they're covered with a quality piece in case he doesn't return from Russia.

22. Portland (from Dallas): Victor Claver, F, Pamesa Valencia (Spain) -- He won't come over for a while, so obviously Kevin Pritchard wasn't looking for immediate help here. Here's hoping he's more Rudy Fernandez or Pau Gasol than Fran Vasquez or Juan Carlos Navarro.

23. Sacramento: Omri Casspi, F, Maccabi Tel Aviv (Israel) -- Looking to become the first Israeli in the NBA. Fran Fraschilla said it best, he looks and acts like Andres Nocioni, right down to the defiant sneer and a desire to get in your face and scrap for every inch.

24. Oklahoma City (for Dallas via Portland): B.J. Mullens, C, Ohio State -- Sam Presti tried to get his clutches on Tyson Chandler in February and has long coveted an athletic 7-footer to protect the basket. Mullens won't turn into that overnight, as he has few NBA-ready skills, but he will be given every opportunity to work himself into the rotation over the next few seasons.

25. Dallas (for Oklahoma City): Rodrigue Beaubois, G, Cholet Basket (France) -- A great athlete who won't be Tony Parker, but does have NBA-caliber quickness and dexterity. Dallas plans to see whether he can cover immediately and compete for backcourt minutes, likely as a defender first.

26. Chicago (from Oklahoma City): Taj Gibson, F, USC -- He'll battle, but has to overcome a lack of size to emerge as a true power forward in this league. You can't question his will, but he's not the best athlete, doesn't have much of a mid-range game and faces an uphill battle for playing time on his own roster.

27. Memphis: DeMarre Carroll, F, Missouri -- DeMarre over DeJuan Blair? Boy, teams must really be apprehensive about Blair's knee. Utah should've taken Blair at No. 20, with Chicago also missing an opportunity in the spot ahead of this one. Now the Grizzlies goof.  Carroll is a poor man's Hakim Warrick, a forward without a true position who will try and get by on effort and intensity. Unfortunately, Carroll isn't the athlete Warrick is, and faces an uphill climb.

28. Minnesota: Wayne Ellington, G, North Carolina -- Hopefully he pans out better than Rashad McCants has. An undersized shooting guard who can stroke it, Ellington is a class individual who will work hard to reach his potential. At this point in the draft -- even with more point guards available -- the Wolves picked a winner.

29. L.A. Lakers (for New York): Toney Douglas, G, Florida State -- A potential steal in that he's someone who is perpetually slept on, Douglas has the aura of a winner and may have a similar impact to another Seminole once drafted by the Knicks, scrappy FSU legend Charlie Ward. Douglas has some Chris Duhon in him but should be a better shooter and is worth the purchase of this pick for the New Yorkers.

30. Cleveland: Christian Eyenga, G/F, DKV Joventut (Spain) -- Out of the Congo, he's a super athlete who was considered a project on his own club team, the same one Rubio played for. Eyenga is a Mickael Pietrus clone who won't see the light of day in the NBA for at least a few years.

Tony Mejia is senior writer for Pro Basketball News. He can be reached at mejia@probasketballnews.com.

MORE NBA DRAFT COVERAGE

* Mejia: Pick-by-pick analysis

* Bernucca: Winners & losers

* Amico: Random draft thoughts

* Results: Draft board & early-entrants

 

 

Good draft night. Very interesting. Now lets watch and see how this things pans out. Proud of you for going out on the limb picking Jennings as ROY, very gutsy. My guess is James Johnson with the Bulls. He will get lots of run and he will produce. Plus the Bulls are on the rise (hopefully).
By: Jed 06/26/09 04:40am
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